ABSTRACT
Covid-19 is a corona virus pandemic disease affected by a new corona virus. Maximum people infected by covid-19 will experience symptoms namely mild to moderate respiratory illness and recover without requiring any special treatment. However elderly people and those having underlying medical diseases such as diabetes, cardiovascular diseases, cancer and chronic respiratory disease are more prone to develop serious illness. Reliability analysis for medical test for covid-19 is performed using a Bayesian network. A Bayesian network (BN) is a probabilistic graphical model that represents knowledge about an uncertain domain where each node corresponds to a random variable and each edge represents the corresponding conditional probability. The BN is used to prioritize the factors that influence virus symptoms of covid-19. The BN model is constructed based on a list of general symptoms of covid-19. The marginal probabilities for all states are computed. The comparison of prior and conditional probabilities is determined. Using BN the reliability of medical test for covid-19 is obtained. © 2022 American Institute of Physics Inc.. All rights reserved.
ABSTRACT
As most countries in the world still struggle to contain the COVID-19 breakout, Data Visualization tools have become increasingly important to support decision-making under uncertain conditions. One of the challenges posed by the pandemic is the early diagnosis of COVID-19: To this end, machine learning models capable of detecting COVID-19 on the basis of hematological values have been developed and validated. This study aims to evaluate the potential of two Data Visualizations to effectively present the output of a COVID-19 diagnostic model to render it online. Specifically, we investigated whether any visualization is better than the other in communicating a COVID-19 test results in an effective and clear manner, both with respect to positivity and to the reliability of the test itself. The findings suggest that designing a visual tool for the general public in this application domain can be extremely challenging for the need to render a wide array of outcomes that can be affected by varying levels of uncertainty.
ABSTRACT
After long arguments between positivism and falsificationism, the verification of universal hypotheses was replaced with the confirmation of uncertain major premises. Unfortunately, Hemple proposed the Raven Paradox. Then, Carnap used the increment of logical probability as the confirmation measure. So far, many confirmation measures have been proposed. Measure F proposed by Kemeny and Oppenheim among them possesses symmetries and asymmetries proposed by Elles and Fitelson, monotonicity proposed by Greco et al., and normalizing property suggested by many researchers. Based on the semantic information theory, a measure b* similar to F is derived from the medical test. Like the likelihood ratio, measures b* and F can only indicate the quality of channels or the testing means instead of the quality of probability predictions. Furthermore, it is still not easy to use b*, F, or another measure to clarify the Raven Paradox. For this reason, measure c* similar to the correct rate is derived. Measure c* supports the Nicod Criterion and undermines the Equivalence Condition, and hence, can be used to eliminate the Raven Paradox. An example indicates that measures F and b* are helpful for diagnosing the infection of Novel Coronavirus, whereas most popular confirmation measures are not. Another example reveals that all popular confirmation measures cannot be used to explain that a black raven can confirm "Ravens are black" more strongly than a piece of chalk. Measures F, b*, and c* indicate that the existence of fewer counterexamples is more important than more positive examples' existence, and hence, are compatible with Popper's falsification thought.